- Title
- The short- to medium-term predictive validity of static and dynamic risk of violence measures in medium- to low-secure forensic and civil inpatients
- Creator
- Finch, Brayden
- Relation
- University of Newcastle Research Higher Degree Thesis
- Resource Type
- thesis
- Date
- 2015
- Description
- Masters Research - Master of Clinical Psychology (MClinPsych)
- Description
- The prediction and subsequent management of aggression in psychiatric inpatients is a crucial role of the mental health professional. This retrospective cohort study combines a critical literature review and a research paper on the ability of static and dynamic risk assessment measures to predict aggression in psychiatric inpatients in the short- to medium-term. The critical literature review presents an overview of the development of static and dynamic risk assessment measures before critically discussing the research on violence prediction in psychiatric inpatient populations over the short- to medium-term. The research paper examines the predictive validity of 10 static and dynamic risk of violence measures and subscales in 37 forensic and 37 civil inpatients residing in a medium-to-low security psychiatric facility over 1-, 3-, and 6-month follow-up periods. Retrospective file records were sourced to conduct an AUC analysis of the ROC curve for short and medium follow-up periods to test the ability of each measure to predict interpersonal violence, verbal threat, and any aggression. The hypothesis that dynamic measures would be better predictors than static measures over the short-term was supported. Albeit to a lesser extent, dynamic measures were still better predictors than static measures over the medium-term. This result was seen in both civil and forensic groups. Three previously untested measures were found to predict aggression within the sample. It is recommended that mental health services employ the use of dynamic measures when making short-term risk of violence predictions for civil and/or forensic inpatients.
- Subject
- risk; violence; static; dynamic; forensic; civil; short-term
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/1959.13/1308236
- Identifier
- uon:21629
- Rights
- Copyright 2015 Brayden Finch
- Language
- eng
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